Analysis by Danilo Cabral · Founder of Bets Metrics

Major League Soccer
FCFC Cincinnati
VSSat, Aug 01, 2026, 11:30 PM11:30 PM UTC
SJESan Jose Earthquakes
Venue: ·
United States

Why analyze FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes

What we look at in this match before any betting recommendation.

Compared odds

We compare odds from 4 licensed bookmakers to find the best value for each market.

Implied probability

We convert odds to implied probability so you can see where the market prices risk.

Match context

League: Major League Soccer. Stage: —. Venue: —, —.

Tools

Use the analyzer below to calculate EV, edge and optimal stake per Kelly criterion.

Best odds

Best odds · FC v SJE

Bookmaker1 (FC)X (Draw)2 (SJE)
BEBetclic (FR)
1.803.903.22
MAMarathon Bet
1.894.103.34
BEBetsson
1.904.253.45
NONordic Bet
1.904.253.45
Match preview

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes: Match Analysis and PredictionMatch preview

FC Cincinnati host San Jose Earthquakes in an MLS clash where home form meets road inconsistency. Cincinnati have been solid at TQL Stadium, relying on high pressing and quick transitions, while San Jose have shown defensive fragility away from home. The market reflects this with Cincinnati as clear favorites, but odds are indicative only and football remains unpredictable.

San Jose will look to exploit spaces behind Cincinnati's full-backs, but their away record suggests they may struggle to contain the hosts' attacking trio. Expect a competitive match with Cincinnati controlling possession. Remember, betting involves risk; please gamble responsibly and only if you are 18 or older.

📊 Bet analyzer

Calculate expected value (EV), edge and Kelly in real time

Calculated metrics
Implied probability50.0%
Edge+5.0%
Expected value (EV)+1.00 units
Expected ROI+10.0%
Return/Risk1.00 : 1
Suggested Kelly10.0%
Kelly stake100.00 units
Break-even probability50.0%
Verdict:Has value ✅EV: +1.00 units · ROI: +10.0%
Probability comparison
Your estimate55.0%
Implied from odds50.0%
Odds converter
Decimal2.00
Fractional1/1
American+100
🎯 Parlay builder
Combined odds3.78
Combined prob.26.46%
Bookmaker margin-73.54%

⚠️ Educational tool. User estimates — not a guarantee or recommendation. 18+, gamble responsibly.

Facts & stats
  • FC Cincinnati have been strong at home, winning a majority of their matches at TQL Stadium this season.
  • San Jose Earthquakes have conceded more goals away from home compared to their home games.
  • In recent meetings, matches between these teams have often produced over 2.5 goals.

Matchup: Key duel: FC Cincinnati's creative midfielder vs San Jose's defensive anchor, where ball progression and defensive positioning will be crucial.

Model pick

Our model suggests the most likely outcome is a home win for FC Cincinnati, with an estimated probability of 58%. This is a model estimate, not a guarantee. Please gamble responsibly. +18.

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Frequently asked questions

FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes: Match Analysis and Prediction — FAQ

What is the estimated probability for FC Cincinnati to win?

Based on our model, FC Cincinnati have a high probability of winning, estimated around 55-60%. However, this is just an estimate and not a guarantee. Odds are indicative only.

How do San Jose Earthquakes typically perform away from home?

San Jose have struggled on the road this season, with a lower win rate and more goals conceded. They tend to be more vulnerable defensively when playing away.

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