Danilo Cabral
Founder of BetsMetrics
15+ years across real estate, consumer finance and sports betting analytics. Writes plain-language betting analysis — no jargon, no false promises.
Danilo Cabral founded BetsMetrics in 2026 after 15+ years across real estate, consumer finance and — more recently — sports betting analytics. He built the site he wished existed when clients and friends asked him basic questions about odds, value betting and bankroll management: a place that explains the math without selling the dream.
He is not a licensed bookmaker, a certified financial planner, or a professional tipster. He is transparent about it. What he brings instead is commercial experience — thousands of conversations with real bettors, savers and small investors across three continents, plus hands-on work with odds APIs (API-Football, The Odds API) and betting market microstructure.
Every calculator, comparison and article on BetsMetrics is tested against worked examples from official odds feeds, regulator publications (SPA/MF, DGOJ, ANJ, GGL, state gaming commissions in the US) and academic literature on probability and behavioral economics. Where assumptions vary by jurisdiction — like the GlüStV 6-leg parlay cap in Germany or the SPA/MF bonus advertising ban in Brazil — the site enforces them in code, not just in copy.
Danilo reads every reader email personally. Corrections, methodology critiques and reader questions are welcome at [email protected] or via LinkedIn.
Areas of expertise
- ✓Odds interpretation and implied probability
- ✓Value betting and expected value (EV) calculations
- ✓Bankroll management and staking plans (Kelly, flat, proportional)
- ✓Sports betting market microstructure
- ✓Regulatory compliance across BR/US/ES/FR/DE markets
- ✓Behavioral biases in betting decisions
- ✓Comparative analysis of licensed bookmakers
Credentials transparency
Not a licensed bookmaker, certified financial planner, or professional tipster. Brings 15+ years of commercial experience across real estate, consumer finance and betting analytics.
Editorial standards
Every calculator, comparison and article on BetsMetrics is tested against worked examples from official odds feeds, regulator publications (SPA/MF, DGOJ, ANJ, GGL, US state gaming commissions) and academic literature on probability and behavioral economics.
Where rules vary by jurisdiction — the GlüStV 6-leg parlay cap in Germany, the SPA/MF bonus advertising ban in Brazil, the literal Ministry of Finance warning occupying at least 10% of the creative (SPA/MF Ordinance 1.964/2026) and the mandatory separation of editorial analysis from advertising (Interministerial Ordinance 73/2026, art. 4 V) — the site enforces them in code, not just in copy: the warning and the advertising label come from a single module.
Contact
Danilo reads every reader email personally. Corrections, methodology critiques and reader questions are welcome.