Value-tier 4-leg same-house accumulator from 10Bet (6.31 combined odds)
A 4-leg accumulator built from four 10Bet markets, assembled by structural rules, not by value claims.
The selections
Why this ticket is defensible
All four selections were priced by the same bookmaker, 10Bet, so this ticket can actually be placed at a single house; mixing odds from different books would be impractical. The four legs come from four distinct games, so the ticket spreads risk across matches instead of stacking one game. Before assembly, correlated market pairs that bookmakers void or that move together were filtered out. The number of legs respects the strictest legal cap of 6 allowed in the markets we publish. The combined odd of 6.31 falls inside the declared range for the "valor" profile, but this is a montage: it reflects the day's price and is not a claim of value. The implied probability in that odd is 15.8%, with the house margin included. This ticket can lose; nothing here promises a return.
How it was built
The process started with four games from LigaMX and La Liga, each selected from 10Bet's available markets: both teams to score in FC Juarez vs. Club America, over 2.5 goals in Club Queretaro vs. Toluca, double chance (draw or away) in Valencia vs. Celta Vigo, and over 2.5 goals in Guadalajara Chivas vs. Club Tijuana. Correlation filters removed pairs that tend to move together. The selected legs were combined at the same house, and the listed combined odd is 6.31. At that price, the implied probability embedded in the odd is 15.8%, which includes the margin of the house. No extra calculation or value estimate was added.
The risks of this ticket
- This ticket has four legs; if one leg loses, the entire accumulator is lost.
- Two of the four legs depend on goals (over 2.5), so a low-scoring round can sink more than one leg at the same time.
- The 15.8% implied probability is a betting price, not a measured chance of winning; the house margin is inside it.
- This is a montage from a single day's odds, not a value call, so the probability of the ticket winning is simply what the odds imply.
The probability shown is the one embedded in the odds, margin included — not our own estimate. Higher odds mean a lower chance.
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