What are the risks of this ticket?

All five legs must win; a single miss voids the entire ticket, and with 5 legs the cumulative chance of at least one failure is high. The slip mixes three totals and one home win; any late lineup change or early goal can shift the live dynamic, especially in UEL qualifiers where form is volatile. A combined odd of 22.26 means the house's implied probability is only 4.5%, and that figure already includes the margin; the real expected hit rate is lower than the raw inverse of odds would suggest. Even though correlated pairs were filtered, the three totals are still all in the same matchday wave; a series of high-scoring games or a batch of tight, low-scoring games can swing the whole ticket together.

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Ousada 5-leg Bet365 multi: UEL card with totals and home win

Five-leg same-house multi at 22.26, built from distinct UEL matches with no correlation between markets.

ousadabuilt from oddsCombined odds: 22.26Odds-implied probability: 4.5%

$100 turns into $2,226

Odds from Bet365

The selections

Why this ticket is defensible

This ticket is a montage, not a value claim. All five selections were priced by Bet365, so the slip can be placed entirely in one house; any multi that mixes prices from different books is not executable. The five legs sit in five different matches, which spreads risk instead of stacking it on one game. A correlation filter removed pairs of markets that the house nullifies or that tend to move together, so the composition is cleaner. The number of legs respects the strictest legal cap of 6 in our markets. The combined odds of 22.26 fit the declared range for the 'ousada' profile. Nothing here suggests edge or fair value; it is simply the price of the day, with the house margin embedded.

How it was built

We started with Bet365's UEL board on these five fixtures: FC Iberia 1999 vs Jagiellonia (Under 2.5), Kauno Žalgiris vs Beşiktaş (Over 2.5), Lillestrom vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë (Over 2.5), Omonia Nicosia vs St. Truiden (Home win), and Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor (Under 2.5). Each leg came from a different match, and the correlation filter rejected any pair of markets that could cancel out or move together. With the house's odds, the combined price settled at 22.26. The implied probability of that odd, including the house margin, is 4.5%. This is a montage: it reflects the day's prices, not a measured prediction.

The risks of this ticket

All five legs must win; a single miss voids the entire ticket, and with 5 legs the cumulative chance of at least one failure is high.
The slip mixes three totals and one home win; any late lineup change or early goal can shift the live dynamic, especially in UEL qualifiers where form is volatile.
A combined odd of 22.26 means the house's implied probability is only 4.5%, and that figure already includes the margin; the real expected hit rate is lower than the raw inverse of odds would suggest.
Even though correlated pairs were filtered, the three totals are still all in the same matchday wave; a series of high-scoring games or a batch of tight, low-scoring games can swing the whole ticket together.

The probability shown is the one embedded in the odds, margin included — not our own estimate. Higher odds mean a lower chance.

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