Analysis by Danilo Cabral · Founder of BetsMetrics

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1
IIpswich
VSSat, Aug 22, 2026, 02:00 PM02:00 PM UTC
SSunderland
Venue: Portman Road · Ipswich
United States

Why analyze Ipswich vs Sunderland

What we look at in this match before any betting recommendation.

Compared odds

We compare odds from 1 licensed bookmakers to find the best value for each market.

Implied probability

We convert odds to implied probability so you can see where the market prices risk.

Match context

League: Premier League. Stage: Regular Season - 1. Venue: Portman Road, Ipswich.

Tools

Use the analyzer below to calculate EV, edge and optimal stake per Kelly criterion.

Best odds

Best odds · Ipswich v Sunderland

Bookmaker1 IpswichX Draw2 Sunderland
1010Bet
2.623.252.62
Match preview

Ipswich vs Sunderland: Prediction, Preview & Key DuelMatch preview

Ipswich Town return to the Premier League with a home opener at Portman Road, facing a Sunderland side that also earned promotion last season. Both teams have undergone significant squad changes, with the hosts focusing on experience and the visitors on youthful energy. The early-season form is difficult to gauge, but the pre-season results suggest Ipswich have developed a compact defensive block, while Sunderland have shown creativity in wide areas.

The indicative odds in the market price Ipswich as slight favourites, reflecting home advantage and a more settled squad. However, the gap between the teams is narrow, and the tactical battle could be decided by set pieces and individual moments.

📊 Bet analyzer

Calculate expected value (EV), edge and Kelly in real time

Calculated metrics
Implied probability50.0%
Edge+5.0%
Expected value (EV)+1.00 units
Expected ROI+10.0%
Return/Risk1.00 : 1
Suggested Kelly10.0%
Kelly stake100.00 units
Break-even probability50.0%
Verdict:Has value ✅EV: +1.00 units · ROI: +10.0%
Probability comparison
Your estimate55.0%
Implied from odds50.0%
Odds converter
Decimal2.00
Fractional1/1
American+100
🎯 Parlay builder
Combined odds3.78
Combined prob.26.46%
Bookmaker margin-73.54%

⚠️ Educational tool. User estimates — not a guarantee or recommendation.

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Facts & stats
  • Ipswich have historically started their league campaigns strongly at Portman Road, avoiding defeat in the majority of their home season openers in recent decades.
  • Sunderland have shown a tendency to concede goals on their travels, with their last several away matches in the Premier League seeing both teams on the scoresheet on most occasions.
  • Matches between Ipswich and Sunderland at Portman Road have often been tight, with many of the recent encounters decided by a single goal or ending level.

Matchup: The key duel will be between Ipswich's Omari Hutchinson and Sunderland's Dan Ballard. Hutchinson's creativity and movement inside the final third challenge Ballard's defensive discipline and aerial strength. If Hutchinson can find spaces between the lines, Ipswich may create clear-cut chances; but Ballard's experience is crucial in limiting those spaces.

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Frequently asked questions

Ipswich vs Sunderland: Prediction, Preview & Key Duel — FAQ

Who are the favourites for the Ipswich vs Sunderland match?

There is no guaranteed outcome.

What is the most likely result according to the model?

This is only a statistical estimate and not a guarantee of the final result.

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