Analysis by Danilo Cabral · Founder of BetsMetrics

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 21
NYRNew York Red Bulls
VSSat, Aug 22, 2026, 11:30 PM11:30 PM UTC
CFChicago Fire
Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium · Harrison
United States

Why analyze New York Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire

What we look at in this match before any betting recommendation.

Compared odds

We compare odds from 1 licensed bookmakers to find the best value for each market.

Implied probability

We convert odds to implied probability so you can see where the market prices risk.

Match context

League: Major League Soccer. Stage: Regular Season - 21. Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison.

Tools

Use the analyzer below to calculate EV, edge and optimal stake per Kelly criterion.

Best odds

Best odds · New York Red Bulls v Chicago Fire

Bookmaker1 New York Red BullsX Draw2 Chicago Fire
1010Bet
2.584.102.28
Match preview

NY Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Match PreviewMatch preview

New York Red Bulls welcome Chicago Fire to Sports Illustrated Stadium in a crucial Eastern Conference clash. The hosts have been solid at home, while the Fire have shown signs of improvement but remain inconsistent on the road. With both teams fighting for playoff positions, this fixture carries significant weight in the regular season.

Tactically, the Red Bulls are expected to press high and utilize their wide players, whereas Chicago may look to absorb pressure and hit on the counter-attack. Market odds indicate a relatively balanced contest, with the home side holding a slight edge. However, the attacking potential of both teams suggests goals are likely.

📊 Bet analyzer

Calculate expected value (EV), edge and Kelly in real time

Calculated metrics
Implied probability50.0%
Edge+5.0%
Expected value (EV)+1.00 units
Expected ROI+10.0%
Return/Risk1.00 : 1
Suggested Kelly10.0%
Kelly stake100.00 units
Break-even probability50.0%
Verdict:Has value ✅EV: +1.00 units · ROI: +10.0%
Probability comparison
Your estimate55.0%
Implied from odds50.0%
Odds converter
Decimal2.00
Fractional1/1
American+100
🎯 Parlay builder
Combined odds3.78
Combined prob.26.46%
Bookmaker margin-73.54%

⚠️ Educational tool. User estimates — not a guarantee or recommendation.

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Facts & stats
  • Chicago Fire have won just one of their last five away matches against New York Red Bulls in all competitions.
  • New York Red Bulls have scored in each of their last eight home games in the MLS regular season.

Matchup: The key duel could be between New York's Lewis Morgan and Chicago's Rafael Czichos, where Morgan's pace and dribbling will test the center-back's positioning.

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Frequently asked questions

NY Red Bulls vs Chicago Fire Match Preview — FAQ

How have these teams performed in recent meetings?

Historically, encounters between New York Red Bulls and Chicago Fire have been closely contested, with both sides claiming victories. In the current season, the Red Bulls have been stronger at home, while Chicago have picked up points in away matches against mid-table opponents.

What is the expected tactical setup?

The battle in midfield will likely determine the outcome.

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